Wednesday, July 9, 2014

US 10-year Treasury yield extends declines within a 4-month falling channel, targeting 2.400 again


10-year treasury yields have been on the decline from the 3.040 high (Jan 2), tracing out a falling 4-month channel (as shown on the daily and weekly charts). Near term, the intraday indicators (as shown on the 240minute chart) are bearish, suggesting scope for further downside, extending the latest easing off the 2.690 high towards 2.506 then 2.400, near the channel lower bounds.

On the upside, a quick upside reversal through 2.690 is needed to negate the weakness and signal channel breakout for 2.818 next.

US 10-year Treasury yield weekly chart

US 10-year Treasury yield daily chart


US 10-year Treasury yield 240min chart

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