Monday, July 14, 2014

S&P 500 Index (SP) resumes rally towards the 1985.59 YTD high for a retest


Risk is back on Monday.
S&P rebounded off last Thursday’s 1952.86 low (near the 20 day MA) to rise above last Tuesday’s 1976.39 high, forming a 4-day base and opening the 1985.59 YTD high (3 Jul). Clearing the latter would confirm a higher low at 1952.86 and extend the broad uptrend towards the 1994.07 Fibonacci target ahead of the 2000.00 psychological level.  The first support lies at 1969.86 near the 10 day MA. Only a break below there would expose the 1952.86 for a retest.
Levels

Current price from levels
Comments
Resistances



             2,004.44

           27.34
1.618x 1814.36/1902.17 from 1862.36
             2,000.00
 *
           22.90
Psychological level
             1,994.07

           16.97
1.5x 1814.36/1902.17 from 1862.36
             1,985.59
 *
             8.49
Jul 3 2014 YTD high
1977.1


Monday close
Supports



             1,969.86

             7.24
Mon's low near Jul 10 high & 10 day MA at 1971.82
             1,959.63

           17.47
Jul 11 low near 20 day MA at 1963.38
             1,952.86
 *
           24.24
Jul 10 low near Jun 27 low at 1952.18
             1,944.69


Jun 26 higher low near 23.6% of the 1814.36/1985.59 rise
             1,925.78


Jun 12 higher low near 50% of 1962.36/1985.59 rise & 50 day MA at 1928.95
             1,918.60


Jun 4 low near 38.2% of the 1814.36/1985.59 rise
*indicates a strong level

Trade idea:

Buy on dips to 1959.63 area
Place stops below 1952.86

Target 1985.59

S&P 500 Index 240minute chart

S&P 500 Index daily chart

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