Tecniview is a blog about quantifying market moves using technical analysis, focusing each day on a single financial instrument.
Wednesday, January 23, 2013
Thursday, January 10, 2013
Tuesday, January 8, 2013
Wednesday, January 2, 2013
FB – Potential Bull Flag Pattern Underpins Further Upside (BUY)
FB (Facebook Inc. @ 28.00) broke out of a 12-day falling channel to form a potential bull flag pattern on the daily chart. With the momentum indicator shifting higher, there is scope for further upside. A decisive break above the key 28.88/28.75 (3/13 December highs) resistance area would confirm the bullish continuation pattern and initiate the next upleg towards 30.55 (2 July low, near the 50% retracement of the 45.00/17.55 fall). Further strength above there would open 31.40 (12 July 2012 high) which guards 33.45 (22 June 2012 high).
However, a move below 26.99 (31 December high) would delay bulls and shift the immediate focus back towards the 25.15/24.10 support zone (28 December low/5-month triangle base resistance, now support). Only a push below there would negate and expose 18.87 (12 November low).
Trading Indication:
Short-term:
Buy Entry: near 27.50;
Target: 31.00 initially (12.7%) and higher;
Stop Loss: below 26.80 (2.6%)
However, a move below 26.99 (31 December high) would delay bulls and shift the immediate focus back towards the 25.15/24.10 support zone (28 December low/5-month triangle base resistance, now support). Only a push below there would negate and expose 18.87 (12 November low).
Trading Indication:
Short-term:
Buy Entry: near 27.50;
Target: 31.00 initially (12.7%) and higher;
Stop Loss: below 26.80 (2.6%)
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
SEA -- 7-month Bear Channel Breakout Points Higher (BUY)
SEA (Claymore/Delta Global Shipping ETF @ 16.10) broke out of a 7-month bear channel after posting a 52-week low at 14.40 (15 November 2012). The recent pullback off the 16.17 high (20 December) found support at 15.79 (31 December low) ahead of the former bear channel resistance now support at 15.50. With the daily momentum indicator shifting higher, there is scope for further upside. Clearance above 16.17 would confirm bullish continuation and initiate the next upleg towards 16.87 (9 May 2012 high, near the channel height target and the 50% retracement of the 19.31/14.40 downswing). Further strength above there would open 17.30 (23 April 2012) which guards 18.10 (30 April 2012 high).
It would take a move below the 15.50 support to delay bulls and shift the immediate focus back towards the key 7-month zone 14.98/14.92 (28 November/31 August lows).
Trading Indication:
Short-term:
Buy Entry: near 15.79;
Target: 16.87 initially (6.8%) and higher;
Stop Loss: below 15.50 (2%)
It would take a move below the 15.50 support to delay bulls and shift the immediate focus back towards the key 7-month zone 14.98/14.92 (28 November/31 August lows).
Trading Indication:
Short-term:
Buy Entry: near 15.79;
Target: 16.87 initially (6.8%) and higher;
Stop Loss: below 15.50 (2%)
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